Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.466248 0.517358 0.572436 0.636318 0.708510 0.787725 0.881445
2025-04-13 0.369524 0.436639 0.514363 0.611483 0.730226 0.871482 1.053435
2025-04-20 0.327658 0.403773 0.496295 0.617956 0.775074 0.972976 1.244021
2025-04-27 0.297815 0.379598 0.482981 0.624722 0.816267 1.069390 1.434664
2025-05-04 0.274014 0.359415 0.471041 0.629691 0.852729 1.160185 1.625033
2025-05-11 0.253429 0.340836 0.458482 0.631098 0.882478 1.242456 1.810341
2025-05-18 0.238085 0.327601 0.451369 0.638390 0.919853 1.337603 2.023794
2025-05-25 0.218525 0.306589 0.431172 0.624250 0.923216 1.381036 2.160307
2025-06-01 0.208021 0.297577 0.427220 0.633337 0.961863 1.481321 2.398669
2025-06-08 0.195084 0.283883 0.415069 0.628426 0.977406 1.545356 2.582481
2025-06-15 0.185996 0.275220 0.409685 0.633323 1.008632 1.637292 2.824653
2025-06-22 0.174464 0.261955 0.396129 0.623726 1.014470 1.686032 2.993488
2025-06-29 0.164885 0.251283 0.386166 0.619645 1.030015 1.754404 3.210234
2025-07-06 0.151835 0.234293 0.364964 0.595040 1.007555 1.752490 3.290987
2025-07-13 0.146136 0.228773 0.362020 0.601349 1.040581 1.855347 3.593491
2025-07-20 0.140943 0.223714 0.359423 0.607904 1.074386 1.962710 3.919280
2025-07-27 0.135837 0.218454 0.356074 0.612720 1.105130 2.066902 4.252157
2025-08-03 0.130524 0.212500 0.351099 0.614083 1.129158 2.159800 4.572526
2025-08-10 0.126520 0.208541 0.349314 0.621150 1.164862 2.280080 4.972573
2025-08-17 0.119569 0.199040 0.337087 0.607446 1.157458 2.308518 5.158561
2025-08-24 0.116461 0.196151 0.336572 0.616254 1.196924 2.441970 5.620608
2025-08-31 0.111608 0.189861 0.329444 0.611494 1.207421 2.512253 5.933610
2025-09-07 0.108376 0.186327 0.327188 0.616240 1.238537 2.632274 6.394191